Skip to main content

INFORM Risk Index 2021

The INFORM Risk Index 2021 is a composite model structured into a hierarchy of dimensions, categories, and components. All scores are normalized on a scale of 0 to 10 (10 being the highest risk).

Below is the clear breakdown of the index's architecture based on your descriptions:

  1. The Composite Index

The top-level score representing a country's overall risk of humanitarian crisis. It is used to assign countries into Risk Classes:

  • Low: ≤3.5
  • Medium: 3.5−5.0
  • High: 5.0−6.5
  • Very High: ≥6.5
  1. Dimension: Vulnerability

This dimension measures the predisposition of a population to be affected by a hazard based on economic, political, and social characteristics.

Sub-Index: Socio-Economic Vulnerability

An aggregate index covering three main components of systemic instability:

  • Development Deprivation: Measures poverty using the Human Development Index (HDI) and Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI).
  • Inequality: Captures the dispersion of human development, including the Gender Inequality Index and the Gini Coefficient.
  • Aid Dependency: Measures economic instability through reliance on public aid, development assistance, and remittances.

Sub-Index: Vulnerable Groups

Captures social groups with limited access to care and heightened susceptibility:

  • Uprooted People: Tracks refugees, IDPs, and returnees.
  • Children Under 5: Specifically monitors child malnutrition and mortality rates.
  • Recent Shocks: Factors in populations already affected by natural disasters in the last 3 years.
  • Food Security: Captures trends in chronic hunger and nutritional balance.
  • Health Conditions: Monitors the prevalence of pandemics (HIV, TB, Malaria) and neglected tropical diseases.
  1. Dimension: Lack of Coping Capacity

This dimension measures the ability of a country to manage and recover from disasters through its infrastructure and government effort.

Sub-Index: Institutional Capacity

Measures the "soft" infrastructure of a country's disaster management:

  • Governance: Captures government effectiveness, resilience-building, and political integrity (lack of corruption).
  • DRR Implementation: Quantifies how well Disaster Risk Reduction activities are actually put into practice.

Sub-Index: Infrastructure

Measures the "hard" assets and systems available during a crisis:

  • Communication: Evaluates the efficiency of early warning dissemination and the literacy/education of the recipients.
  • Physical Connectivity: Assesses the accessibility of transport and the quality/availability of water and sanitation services.
  • Access to Healthcare: Captures health system strength, including physician density and maternal/infant health services.

 

European Commission, Joint Research Centre. (2020). INFORM Risk Index 2021. https://drmkc.jrc.ec.europa.eu/inform-index

https://geospatial.jrc.ec.europa.eu/geoserver/africa_platform/wms?
Luca VernacciniJRC Inform <JRC-INFORM@ec.europa.eu>

Select for mapping